@BMartzy SFBX Draft Recap
This year we had the distinction of having several members of the Dynasty Vipers team participating in the Scott Fish Bowl. We would like to start by thanking Scott Fish, Ryan McDowell, Sal Leto, and everyone else who put in an incredible amount of time and effort to organize this fantastic event, as well as the SFB Podathan. This years tournament includes 1440 participants, consisting of both analysts and fans alike. As usual SFB used a unique scoring system, which includes superflex and tightend premium with bonuses for first downs, as well as negative points for quarterback incompletions. With these added wrinkles to the scoring system it certainly made for some interesting draft results with many different philosophies on how to draft a winning team. The general consensus according to Twitter was that zero WR was the way to go, due to the scarcity of quality starting quarterbacks, runningbacks, and tightends available. Each of us will do a breakdown of our drafts as they conclude.
@BMartzy Vortex Division Pick 6
After completing dozens of mock drafts I too agree that zero wide receiver was the way to draft this season, so that is what I did. I went in with the goal of having two quarterbacks and two runningbacks in the first four rounds then addressing tightend and wide out from there. Unexpectedly tightends were a hotter commodity than quarterbacks were throughout the first half a dozen rounds. This was due to several teams drafting multiple tightends early, essentially forcing the hand of other drafters to start grabbing TE's before they were planning to. I stuck to my plan of drafting three quarterbacks, three tightends, eight runningbacks, and eight wide receivers to allow for a balanced draft. With the unique offseason and inability for players to train together I was avoiding rookies for the most part unless the value was just too much to pass on.
1:06 Ezekiel Elliot - In the vast majority of mock drafts I completed it was either Alvin Kamara or Ezekiel Elliot who ended up being selected at the 1:06 pick. For me Zeke was my top choice at this draft slot so I was glad when Kamara went with the fifth overall pick. I personally feel that Elliot will out-touch Kamara due to lesser backfield competition, with Kamara potentially losing goal line touches to Latavius Murray again.
2:07 Dak Prescott - I never expected to land Prescott in the second round as he carries an 11.4 ADP, not once in all of the mocks I was involved in did he fall this far. I was ecstatic to get my QB3 with the 19th overall pick in a superflex format, Dak would have been the seventh highest scoring player and fourth highest scoring quarterback with the current scorng settings. My contingency plan was Russell Wilson who went the pick before I chose Prescott.
3:06 Leonard Fournette - I had my fingers crossed that Miles Sanders would slide to me here but unfortunately he went six picks earlier. I knew I was going runningback at this point it was just a matter of who, it came down to Fournette, Melvin Gordon, or the big two rookies in Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and Jonathan Taylor. I chose Fournette as he is the only one of the group who appears to have a defined role this season. I prefer the rookies in dynasty but in redraft there just isn't enough time to wait for them to establish a role, the same essentially applies to Gordon who joined a new team in free agency.
4:07 Josh Allen - This pick was quite possibly the most difficult decision I had to make in the entire draft, it came down to Matthew Stafford, Aaron Rodgers, and Josh Allen in this format. I eventually ruled out Rodgers simply due to his lack of offensive weapons when compared to the other two quarterbacks. Allen averaged over 16.3pts per game last season while adding one of the best route runners in the league to his arsenal in Stefon Diggs. Despite having room for improvement as a pocket passer ultimately it was his 510 rushing yards and 9 rushing TD's that influenced my final decision.
5:06 Le'Veon Bell - I had fully intended to grab my first receiver or tightend here however I felt the value on Bell who I fully expect to have big bounce back season was too good to pass up at 54th overall. Despite there being some recognizable names on the roster I don't feel a 37 year old Frank Gore, or fourth rounder Lamical Perine are a serious threat to Bell's workload. I expect Bell to be in the neighborhood of 1500 all purpose yards by the end of the season, with 800-900 rushing yards and 600-700 receiving yards.
6:07 Adam Thielen - Considering I didn't select my WR1 until the sixth round with the 67th overall pick I was thrilled to get Thielen here. I had some solid options in Ridley, Sutton, Lockett, and Keenan Allen. What set Thielen apart for me was the lack of competition for targets with Stefon Diggs being traded to Buffalo. Ridley will split targets with Julio, Sutton has an unproven QB with quality rookies added in Jeudy and Hamler. Lockett is great but has an emerging star to split targets with in D.K. Metcalf on a run heavy team, Allen was out for me based on his quarterback situation in Tyrod Taylor and rookie Justin Herbert.
7:06 Rob Gronkowski - I have always been a huge Gronk fan and believe he is going to have a great season in TB with Tom Brady. But this was quite early to select him, however as I mentioned previously tightends were flying off the board early and my hand was forced. As my TE1 it came down to Gronkowski, Gesicki, or Hunter Henry, I like all three but decided to go for the upside of Gronk. Reason being when the game is on the line or points need to be scored and the pressure is on, Tom Brady is only familiar and trusts one player on the Tampa Bay offense. His old pal Gronk.
8:07 Cam Newton - My goal was to lock up a third quarterback prior to round ten, and that is exactly what I did scooping up Cam Newton who recently signed in New England. The quarterbacks were getting picked through at this point with only Carr, Minshew, Darnold, Haskins, and the rookies available. So taking the former MVP was an easy choice for me here, I expect him to be in peak physical condition and to play with a chip on his shoulder.
9:06 Michael Gallup - I would like to start by saying I am not a Dallas Cowboys fan and the Dak/Zeke/Gallup stack was unintentional and not planned. With that being said I couldn't pass up the opportunity to acquire the third year wide out after posting an incredible 66/1107/6 stat line on 112 targets as a sophomore. With Amari Cooper commanding the attention of opposing teams #1 defensive back, Gallup should continue to feast in that high powered Dallas offense.
10:07 Ian Thomas - Ian Thomas was selected in all 120 divisions, not one person took him earlier than I did. This was not the initial plan but as I mentioned quality starting TE's were at a premium. Also Thomas is a player I have acquired in nearly every dynasty league, and drafted this offseason in every single redraft league, so I am definitely a believer in him. I truly believe he will thrive with Teddy Bridgewater as his QB, being especially effective in the redzone. I have Thomas projected for 67/629/6 with approximately 100 targets, which would make him a fringe TE1.
11:06 Sony Michel - This is another player I have been drafting in every league this summer thanks to his mid round ADP, you can't go wrong with a starting runningback who should see 250+ touches and nearly 1000 all purpose yards. As a Patriots fan I am well aware of how inconsistently and sporadically Bill Belichick can use his backs. But since being drafted in the first round of the 2018 draft he has been an effective two down thumper averaging 238 touches per season.
12:07 Mecole Hardman - Coming off a stellar rookie season amassing a 26/538/6 stat line averaging over 20 yards per reception (20.7). I feel he is only going to improve as a sophomore in that incredibly potent Kansas City offense, it wouldn't surprise me if he doubled his reception total from a year ago. Other WR's I considered here were Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, and Golden Tate, but ultimately chose based on upside alone.
13:06 John Brown - After beating myself up for a few hours selecting Hardman over the "safer" option in John Brown, I was quite happy that he slid to me here as he was nearly my 12th round selection. Coming off his second career 1000 yard receiving season, his first 1000 yard season since 2015, Brown finally appears to be healthy with his sickle cell trait condition managed. Some feel the addition of Stefon Diggs will hinder Brown's numbers, I however believe the opposite, I think that Diggs will open up space for Brown downfield.
14:07 N'Keal Harry - At this point I was stacking wide receivers due to my "zero WR" strategy early on, Harry is another low cost high upside selection especially at 163rd overall. The Patriots are thin at WR with 34 year old Julien Edleman, 2019 first rounder N'Keal Harry, and Mohamed Sanu. After a quiet rookie campaign, I expect Harry to emerge as a legitimate WR2 this season. If he can develop chemistry with newly acquired Can Newton 50-60 receptions and 600-700 yards is not out of the question.
15:06 Duke Johnson - I had fully intended to continue my run of selecting wide receivers here, but the allure of Duke Johnson in the 15th round, 174th overall was just too much. I am not one of them Duke Johnson truthers you see on Twitter, but I do see a direct path to significant snaps having only recently acquired often injured David Johnson ahead of him on the depth chart. I expect Duke to catch 40-50 passes playing the third down role, and considering David Johnson has had one quality season out of the past three constantly battling injuries. It is not a stretch to envision Duke Johnson as the every down back if something were to happen to David Johnson.
16:07 Dawson Knox - For the first time in the draft I drafted a tightend on the right side of his ADP picking up Dawson Knox in the 16th round. As the unquestioned TE1 in Buffalo I'm anticipating a significant increase in production after an excellent rookie season putting up 28/388/2 on 50 targets. As a second year player who is still ascending it is conceivable that Knox catches 40+ passes, eclipsing 500 receiving yards, adding 4-5 touchdowns.
17:06 Damien Harris - With the only knock against Sony Michel being the uncertainty of having recently drafted an incredibly talented runningback out of Alabama in the third round in Damien Harris. I decided to lock up Michel's primary backup as he is coming off foot surgery in May and has an injury history. Harris in my opinion has more potential upside than the other RB's that were available here in Hyde, AP, McKinnon, & Jamaal Williams.
18:07 Rashaad Penny - I have always been a big fan of Rashaad Penny so that may have played into this pick to a certain degree. My hope is that when Penny comes off PUP that he will have a distinct role with Chris Carson coming off a devastating hip injury and Carlos Hyde being terribly mediocre last season excluded. This late in the draft I believe it is all about upside and Penny offers late season upside if things play out the right way.
19:06 K.J. Hamler - After having Miles Boykin sniped on me I had to go against one of my 2020 redraft rules and take a rookie WR. With that being said Hamler is slated to start in the slot for the Broncos as a rookie and should see plenty of targets. The second rounder out of Penn State could easily become one of Drew Lock's favorite targets underneath due to his excellent route running and ability to gain separation in tight spaces.
20:07 Josh Reynolds - With Brandin Cooks leaving town Reynolds will likely be promoted to the Rams WR3 with the possibility of moving up more if any injuries were to occur to Cooper Kupp or Robert Woods. When used as the Rams third receiving option he averaged over four receptions per game, he will have to look over his shoulder down the road with rookie second rounder Van Jefferson in town. But as far as this season he should be a quality bench stash with potential as a quality late season bye week filler.
21:06 Kelvin Harmon - Harmon is a player I have been scooping up in the late rounds of every draft this summer, I like Haskins and believe he will take a big step forward this season. With that being said the only real receiving threat on the roster is Terry McLaurin the 2019 third rounder who had a phenomenal rookie campaign. In my eyes Harmon is the consensus WR2 on this team, he also showed chemistry with Dwayne Haskins over the final six games of the season. As he accumulated 19 receptions, for 257 yards on 30 targets as the pair of rookies became more comfortable down the stretch.
22:07 Dare Ogunbowale - I was stoked when Ogunbowale was available with my final pick, despite being listed as the number three runningback in Tampa Bay. I feel like he will inevitably become Tom Brady's new version of James White catching a significant amount of dump offs from the future hall of famer. I also expect there to be several shootouts involving Tampa which should lead to considerable playing time and late game snaps for Ogunbowale.
It was an honor just to be involved in this incredible event, I can't thank those involved in the setup and behind the scenes enough for all of their hard work to pull off such a spectacular charity fund raiser. Below is my team including mock ADP, ADP +/- in relation to where I drafted that particular player as well as the earliest and latest that player was selected throughout the 120 individual drafts. This is my inaugural Scott Fish Bowl and I hope to represent my website and the country of Canada well, possibly earning a spot next year for SFB11. Don't forget to donate to Fantasy Cares or any local charity for that matter in the name of fantasy football.