1 Vs 1 WR Edition: Tyreek Hill Vs Adam Thielen
In this series I'm going to compare two similarly ranked and drafted players putting them up against each other, and comparing them in a variety of categories such as quality of quarterback, draft pedigree, age, combine results, measurables, team passing attempts, snaps played, PFF grades, target percentage, and depth chart competition. In an attempt to determine which of the two players will be the superior dynasty asset. In this edition I'm going to compare two immensely talented wide receivers in Tyreek Hill and Adam Thielen who both will be catching passes from a different quarterback in 2018 than they did this season.
Both wide receivers had excellent 2017 seasons, Hill caught 75 passes totalling 1183 yards and 7 touchdowns on 105 targets, for an impressive 15.8 yards per reception. Thielen hauled in 91 passes for 1276 yards and 4 touchdowns, averaging 14.0 yards per reception on his 142 targets. I have Hill ranked as my 14h dynasty wide out, and Thielen ranked as my 20th overall wide receiver. As far as the quarterbacks who throw these two talented wide receivers the ball, Alex Smith and Case Keenum both may not be the starting quarterback for their current teams next season which could potentially negatively affect the number one wide receivers on their respective teams. Smith has put together one of the best statistical seasons of his career, PFF graded him as the 7th overall QB with an 85.9 grade. Case Keenum the veteran journeyman has had a career resurgence in Minnesota this season and PFF had him as the 10th overall graded quarterback with a 84.8 grade. I have them ranked very closely with Smith as my 23rd ranked dynasty quarterback and Keenum ranked as my 26th overall quarterback. Advantage: Thielen
When it comes to age, measurables, combine results, and draft pedigree, these two wide receivers have some glaring differences. To start with, Hill is four full years younger than Thielen is with Hill playing the 2018 season as a 24 year old and Thielen playing next season as a 28 year old. Thielen is the bigger of the two wide receivers at 6'2 200 pounds, whereas Hill is listed at 5'10 185 pounds. These 2 receivers had essentially opposite pro days results. Hill was not invited to the 2016 combine after being dismissed from Oklahoma State but had incredible numbers at his pro day. Running a 4.29 40, putting up a 129 inch broad jump and an impressive 40.5 inch vertical. Thielen simply wasn't invited to the 2013 NFL combine, which seems crazy knowing what we know today. He managed to put up respectable numbers during his pro day nonetheless running a 4.49 40, with a 120 inch broad jump and a 36 inch vert. The Draft pedigree advantage also goes to Hill, as he was taken in the 2016 draft with the 28th pick of the 5th round, 165th overall. Thielen shockingly was an undrafted free agent, signing with home town Minnesota after the completion of the draft. Advantage:Hill
Now lets take a look at these two from more of a team perspective, looking at each teams passing attempts, completion percentage, and teams passing play percentage. In 2017 Kansas City attempted 543 passes, completing 363 of them, with a 66.9% completion rate, throwing the ball 58.9% of the time. Last year Minnesota threw the ball 527 times, completing 357 passes, with a 67.7 completion percentage, and passing on 52.5% of offensive plays in 2017. These two wide receivers both benefit from being targeted often as their teams number one wide receivers. I give a very slight edge to Smith when comparing the two quarterbacks who threw Hill and Thielen the ball this season. But with the uncertainty of whether either of these two will retain their starting jobs into next season makes comparing quarterbacks inconsequential for the time being. It's now Mahomes starting in KC and either Bradford, Bridgewater, or someone else potentially starting for the Vikings next season. Of this group of potential starters I definitely prefer Mahomes he has a huge arm and a lot of potential, I can see the Mahomes to Hill connection being a lethal combination for years to come. Advantage: Hill
In 2017 Hill played 777 snaps, where he was targeted 105 times for a team target share percentage of 19.3%. Thielen played a whopping 1031 snaps last season and his 142 targets equated to more than a quarter of his entire teams targets as he finished with a 26.9% target share. As far as the depth charts go behind these two talented wide receivers the Chiefs have pro bowl tightend Travis Kelce, rookie runningback sensation Kareem Hunt, Albert Wilson, De'Anthony Thomas and some unproven youth in Chris Conley, Demarcus Robinson, and Jehu Chesson. In Minnesota Thielen has to contend with tightend Kyle Rudolph, pass catching runningbacks Dalvin Cook and Jerrick Mckinnon, as well as talented wide receiver Stefon Diggs, and possible draft bust Laquan Treadwell. Advantage: Thielen
This comparison was extremely close and it comes down to I prefer Thielen in the short term but definitely prefer Hill long term. I am somewhat concerned that next season may be a down season for Hill due to the fact that if Mahomes is in fact named the starter he may have a typical first season for a young starting quarterback. I can't write an entire article involving Tyreek Hill and not mention the reason this piece of trash was dismissed from Oklahoma and not invited to the NFL combine. He “allegedly” physically abused and choked his pregnant girlfriend, if that allegation is true he is truly a disgusting excuse for a human being. That being said I draft and acquire dynasty assets not personal acquaintances that I will get to know on a personal level so. Winner: Hill