1 vs 1 WR Edition: DeAndre Hopkins Vs Allen Robinson

 

In this series I'm going to compare two similarly ranked and drafted wide receivers putting them up against each other, and comparing them in a variety of categories such as quality of quarterback, draft pedigree, age, combine results, measurables, team passing attempts, snaps played, PFF grades, target percentage, and depth chart competition. In an attempt to determine which of the two players will be the superior dynasty asset. In this edition I'm going to compare two very talented wide receivers who share a common bond of sketchy quarterback play in the past DeAndre Hopkins and Allen Robinson. Due to subpar quarterbacks both receivers 2016 stats were both down significantly from their 2015 Pro Bowl seasons. Hopkins caught 78 passes on 151 targets for 954 yards and 4 touchdowns averaging 12.2 yards per reception, while Robinson hauled in 73 receptions on 150 targets for 883 yards and 6 touchdowns for a 12.1 yard per reception average. PFF gave a significant advantage to Hopkins with an 81.2 grade good enough for 26th overall among wide receivers. Robinson was given a 74.9 grade which landed him at56th overall. I have Hopkins ranked ahead of Robinson in my wide receiver rankings, although it is fairly close with Hopkins at number 1 and Robinson at number 9. Both of these receivers have been the victim of well documented horrendous quarterback play at times to put it nicely. There were actually times in 2016 where Bortles looked like he may have some sort of vision problems regularly missing wide open receivers on short and intermediate routes by several yards. But he was still playing at a significantly higher level than Osweiller was for Houston, at times last season it was downright painful watching Osweiller run the Texans offense. Bortles graded out ahead of Osweiller, and rightfully so, with a 69.2 grade which landed him at 27th among quarterbacks, while Osweiller graded out at a meager 48.6 which was dead last among starting quarterbacks as 32nd place. I also gave the advantage to Bortles as I have him ranked as my 21st quarterback and Osweiller as my 37th ranked quarterback. Advantage: Robinson

When it comes to age, measurables, combine results, and draft pedigree, it appears these two wide receivers have a lot of similarities. Hopkins is a year older than Robinson at 25 years old, Robinson holds a size advantage over Hopkins, with Robinson being 6'3/211 and Hopkins 6'1/215. Their combine numbers were very similar, Hopkins had the slightly better 40 time with a 4.57 to Robinson's 4.60, but Robinson out jumped Hopkins in the broad jump 127” to 115” and had the more impressive vert, with a advantage and 39” to 36”. Draft pedigree is advantage Hopkins as he was taken in the first round 27th overall by the Texans in 2013, Robinson was drafted a year later by Jacksonville with the 29th pick of the 2nd round 61st overall. Advantage: Tie

Now lets take a look at them from more of a team perspective, looking at each teams passing attempts, completion percentage, and successful play rate. Jacksonville attempted a whopping 626 passes in 2016 with a completion rate of just 58.9% and a successful play rate of 45%, throwing the ball on 62.7% of there offensive plays. Houston attempted 583 passes completing 59.3% of them with a successful play rate of 47%, and threw the ball on 56.6% of offensive plays. The quarterback play of both these teams was atrocious at times, and honestly was not of NFL calibre, which is a damn shame considering the talent level of these two receivers. Houston looked to address the issue in the draft trading up to draft Deshaun Watson with the 12th overall pick. Even if Watson takes some time to develop Tom Savage will likely prove to be an improvement over Osweiller. As far as Bortles goes I think it speaks volumes to the teams confidence in him using the 4th overall pick in the draft to select running back Leonard Fournette in an attempt to move into a more run based offense. Advantage: Hopkins

Despite Hopkins holding a nearly 200 snaps played advantage over Robinson, 1224 to 1050. Their targets were essentially the same with Hopkins holding a slight edge with 151 targets to Robinson's 150 targets. Even though Bortles threw what seemed like 137 passes per game, Robinson's team target share was still very impressive at 23.9%. Hopkins had a 25.9% target share, accounting for over one quarter of the teams targets. As far as depth charts go both wide receivers are the teams undisputed number one wide receiver, although Robinson seems to have more direct competition in Allen Hurns, Marquise Lee, recently drafted gadget player Dede Westbrook, as well as Leonard Fournette, who is a much better pass catcher than initially thought to be. Hopkins doesn't have much target competition in Houston, as the only other competent receiver on the team is speedster Will Fuller. When Fuller does return he plays a completely different role than Hopkins, it can also be argued that Fullers presence on the field actually helps Hopkins, due to Fullers ability to take the top off defenses and open things up underneath for Hopkins. The only other reals threats for targets other than Fuller would be tightend CJ Feidorowitz and runningback Lamar Miller. Advantage: Hopkins

The winner in this match up is DeAndre Hopkins, the quarterback play in Houston can only improve moving forward and Hopkins will reap the rewards of a competent passing offense. I like Robinson a lot, but in order to buy into Robinson you have to be willing to buy into Bortles as well, and quite frankly I want no part of Bortles. Outside of some garbage time production he's been downright awful, and I don't believe he will have a miraculous turn around anytime soon, and neither does magangement drafting Leonard Fournette. Winner: DeAndre Hopkins